Historical Inflation Trends
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Source of inflation and interest rate data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The monthly close for the DJIA and the S&P 500 are shown in
logarithmic scale. The annual rate for bond yields and inflation are shown monthly in arithmetic scale. Source of bond yields: Moody's.
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Historical Inflation Trends
Are you concerned about the rising cost of living and
doing business? Will future inflation continue to be
consistent with the moderate historical inflation trend
that began in the mid eighties?  

The U. S. experienced a similarly moderate period of
inflation from 1952 through 1967. That period was
followed by a period of rapid inflation. Inflation has
behaved with considerably less volatility after 1950.
In the chart below, historical stock prices and interest
rates are plotted above Historical Inflation to provide a
more complete sense of economic history.

Noteworthy historical events are also shown to clarify
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the nature of the times. The negative percentages
(inflation) represent periods of falling prices (deflation).
The severe deflation following the economic collapse of
the great depression is visible. The extreme  inflation
during World War II is also apparent.

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1900       1910       1920      1930      1940       1950      1960      1970       1980      1990      2000
10%
5%
0%
- 5%
15%
20%
-10%
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Inflation
(Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items)
Prime Rate
DJIA
S&P 500
89%
Decline
Stock Market Closed for 4.5
Months because of WWI
/
Arab Oil
Embargo
'73
/
9/11/01
/
Pearl
Harbor
'41
\
Black
Tuesday
1929
10/29/29
/
22% Crash
on10/19/87
Korean War
'50 -'53
Cuban
Missile
Crisis '62
\
Kennedy
Assassination
'63
\
Savings &
Loan
Bailout '88
Iraq Invaded
Kuwait '90
\
1000
200
400
12000
40
800
60
115
1500
DJIA ●  S&P 500  Inflation  Interest Rates
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