2010 Inflation: 1.44%
Forecast for 2010: 1.55%
Forecast for June, 2010 - May, 2011: 0.91%
Inflation Forecast
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1960      1965       1970       1975       1980      1985      1990      1995       2000       2005
2%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
*Inflation and inflation forecasts are for the U. S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all urban
consumers: All Items less energy.
Inflation Chart: 1960 - 2006
Year
2.8%
2.5%
3.1%
1.8%
2.5%
2.1%
2.7%
2.4%
2.0%
1.6%
1.9%
1.9%
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2.9%
2.9%
2.1%
2.4%
2.0%
2.6%
2.8%
1.8%
1.5%
2.2%
2.2%
2.5%
Variance
Inflation
Year
Avg. Variance 1959-2006
Avg. Variance 1990-2006
Avg. Variance 2002-2006
0.4%
0.2%
0.76%
0.6%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
1.4%
0.4%
1.4%
2.4%
1.6%
1.2%
0.1%
4.4%
3.0%
3.4%
0.8%
1.7%
1.1%
1.4%
0.7%
1.1%
2.1%
1.1%
2.0%
2.9%
3.5%
4.1%
7.0%
4.6%
3.6%
3.8%
8.7%
10.0%
5.6%
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1.3%
1.3%
0.7%
1.3%
1.9%
1.3%
1.9%
3.4%
3.2%
4.9%
6.5%
5.4%
3.4%
3.5%
8.2%
11.7%
6.6%
4.8%
Variance
Inflation
1.6%
1.9%
1.3%
0.2%
1.4%
3.0%
1.0%
0.4%
0.2%
0.4%
0.9%
0.3%
0.4%
1.3%
0.5%
1.2%
0.6%
0.7%
5.1%
7.2%
9.8%
11.9%
9.9%
7.2%
3.6%
4.8%
3.8%
4.2%
3.2%
4.4%
5.0%
4.0%
4.4%
4.2%
2.6%
3.3%
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
6.7%
9.1%
11.1%
11.7%
8.5%
4.2%
4.5%
4.4%
4.0%
3.8%
4.1%
4.7%
4.6%
5.2%
3.9%
3.0%
3.1%
2.6%
Variance
Inflation
Year
0.1%
0.4%
0.9%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.0%
0.5%
0.4%
0.6%
0.3%
0.6%



0.99%
0.57%
0.49%
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Source of inflation data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. SignalTrend is a newsletter service, not an investment advisor.  None of the
information on our Site is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation,
endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. SignalTrend does not recommend short selling, the use of margin or any
other form of leverage. Please speak to your investment advisor to determine the suitability of any investment for your objectives and risk
tolerance before using any information, product or service found in this website. Carefully read any fund's prospectus before investing. The
inflation forecasts went live January 25, 2007. Results prior to 1/25/07 are the result of backtesting. Results after that date reflect the
performance of real time forecasts. Past performance of  is not a guarantee of future results. Please read the following Terms of
Use/Disclaimer before using any part of this website in any way. Your use of this site or any of SignalTrend's  products, services or
information  constitutes your agreement to abide by SignalTrend's Terms of Use/Disclaimer as contained in the following link.
Inflation
Forecast
Inflation
Forecast
Inflation
Forecast
Decades Tested Forecast Model
SignalTrend's Inflation Forecast System was developed through years of research and thoroughly
backtested over many decades. The Forecasts generated in the backtest of SignalTrend's
computerized forecast system are provided in the tables below. The heart of this system is a
versatile model that identifies the probable course of inflation.
Numerous analytical equations were crafted to provide specific, objective, unemotional forecasts.
The average variance between actual and forecasted rates for 1990 - 2006 was 0.57%.
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Both the stock market and the bond market may react
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often raises interest rates in an effort to keep inflation
in check. It even seems like the markets hold their
breath as they wait for the minutes of the Federal
Reserve Open Market Committee meeting.
Inflation is often given as the reason for major Federal
Reserve policy shifts... Shifts towards raising or lowering
key interest rates. Shifts that affect stocks, bonds & housing.

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