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Stock Market Timing Model
Dow Jones Industrial Average
(5% Per Year)
SignalTrend's return reflects Long and Short trades placed at the DJIA close, the
day after each signal, excluding any variables other than the Price of the index.
(Excludes taxes, dividends, commissions, margin costs etc.) The returns with
margin are calculated by multiplying the weekly returns without margin x 2.
SignalTrend's Stock Market Timing Model was
developed through years of research and
back-tested over one hundred years.
The result nearly tripled the annual price gains of
the Dow. The result using margin was nearly 5
times the Dow's annual return! The core of this
system is a versatile model that  identifies major
turning points in the overall stock market.
Hundreds of analytical equations were crafted to
provide objective, unemotional Buy and Sell
signals. SignalTrend is designed to multiply your
profits during both Bull and Bear markets as an
alternative to Buy and Hold investing. Its signals
should be used to trade the DJIA, S&P 500 and
NASDAQ indexes.

This Stock Market Timing Modell went live March
10, 2005 after being back-tested to 1900.
SignalTrend was applied to the Dow Jones
Industrial Average from 1900 through 2004, a
period in which the blue chip index rose an
average of 5% per year.

Stock Market Timing Model  (1900-2004)
17 Sideways Years
19 Sideways Years
SignalTrend performed well over an entire century… a century that
included the Great Depression, the Cyclic 70’s, the Crash of ‘87 and 9/11.
If you know of any other stock market timing Model that tripled the return of
the market over 105 years, let us know. Until then...  
Don’t invest without SignalTrend !
1900              1925              1950              1975              2000
Annual Return
(With Margin)
Compounded Annual Return
Average Gain on Winning Trades
Average Loss on Losing Trades
Maximum Loss on Losing Trades
Winning Trades
Losing Trades
Signals per Decade
Months Bullish
Months Bearish
Months Neutral
Market Timing Models  
Stock Market Model
SignalTrend's Investment Tips
In-depth Investment Strategy Research including Proprietary Graphs, Tables
and Analyses are presented to provide clues to the future from the annals of
history. Supplementary strategies are typically tested against decades, if not
a whole century, to verify or disprove the soundness of both conventional and
unconventional theories. What the majority assumes to be true, often is not. In
the final analysis, readers are admonished to follow the evidence, wherever it

Investment Tips are not a total solution for the taming of the market. They do
not replace SignalTrend's Stock Market Timing Models or Interest Rate Timing
Models. They do provide a historical perspective to aid investors in
interpreting the often confusing behavior of the market. That historical
perspective may be the difference between staying the course or being blown
and tossed by every investment theory that is popular at the moment.
Annual Return
(Without Margin)
SignalTrend asks this question with regard to any investment theory… How well has the theory performed in the past?

SignalTrend's Investment Tips are only available through emails received by subscribers... every 3rd Friday.

find new or helpful
Investment Tips!*
Interest Rate Forecast
Investment Tips
How To Invest
Stock Market Forecast
Stock Timing Signals
helping you... navigate the future
Market Timing Models
Do you look before you leap? Do you prefer to apply investment principles that have been tested?... Or do you try  
methods that are popular at the moment... what ever sounds good? If you respect thoroughly researched strategies, then
SignalTrend's Market Timing Models deserve a place in your toolbox of the tried and tested. SignalTrend has Market
Timing Models for the stock market, bond market and even inflation. Our Market Timing Models for the stock market
produce buy sell signals. Our Market Timing Models for inflation and interest bearing investments produce twelve month
forecasts to give you SignalTrend's perspective on where those rates will be a year from now. SignalTrend has a Market
Timing Model for the DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, prime rate, mortgage rate, treasury rate, CD rate and inflation.
SignalTrend's models were all backtested over decades if not an entire century. If you believe that solid historical factors
should guide investment decisions rather than emotions, please take a few minutes to tour our site.

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Interest Rate Models
Mortgage Rate Model
Whether you are a prospective home buyer or
home seller, the future of mortgage interest
rates is crucial to your decision making process.
Is now a good time to buy?  Will rates be lower
later?  Will rising rates chase buyers away?

Prime Rate Model
Will prime rate be higher or lower one year from

Should you invest more capital in expanding the
business or work towards paying off debts?

How will changing interest rates affect your
customers buying power?

10 Year Treasury Rate Model
You invest in long term debt instruments. If rates
fall after you buy, you'll profit handsomely. But if
they rise, you could suffer heavy losses.

6 Month CD Rate Model
Should you buy the short term CD, hoping that
rates to be higher when the CD matures? Or,
should you buy a longer term CD, expecting
rates to fall?
Over 4 Decades of History
Who but SignalTrend has tested its forecast models over more than four
decades, and published the results. SignalTrend's models were
successfully tested against historical interest rates as far back as 1958.

For more information about SignalTrend's Interest Rate Models, click the
Interest Rate Forecast button near the top of this page.

SignalTrend's Interest Rate Forecast is just a few clicks away. Click the
button below to subscribe.
Click Here for the Forecast!
1965     1970    1975     1980     1985     1990     1995     2000    2005
10 Year Treasury
30 Year Mortgage